By Farooq Tariq
The second serious attempt on the life of General Musharaf within
a Week show the absolute desperation of religious fundamentalist
to take the life of the general. According to initial investigations,
the attack was done in a way similar to those reported from Middle
East countries. 14 persons died when two cars full of explosives
tried to hit the caravan of General Musharaf while he was on his
way to his home in Rawalpindi. He narrowly escaped but windscreen
of his car was broken.
In todays suicidal attack aiming at assassinating Pervez
Musharraf, the vehicles used laded with explosive material and
was itself a first kind of attack in Pakistan. Only a day earlier,
on 24th December, General Musharaf boosted on television about
his successful deal with the Mutehida Majlas Ammal (MMA), the
main religious fundamentalist alliance in Pakistan. Accordi0ng
to the deal, he will retain the dictatorial powers with the help
of religious fundamentalist votes in the parliament. The Legal
Framework Order (LFO) will be presented in the parliament and
constitutional amendments will be carried out with the two third
majority in the National Assembly with the help of MMA. "Democracy
has won" General Musharaf declared in his televised address.
But it was the victory of the dictatorial powers he would enjoy
under the amended constitution of Pakistan. The religious fundamentalists
showed that they can work together with the military as they have
done in the past. The deal clearly expressed the hypocratic attitude
on both sides.
On one side, the General Musharaf is a close ally of the American
imperialists in their so called war on terror. While at home,
he is very much busy in making deals with the religious fundamentalist
to save his power and prestige. On the other side, the religious
fundamentalist forces of Pakistan is trying their best to break
their past association with the American imperialism and have
been propagating "anti imperialist" gestures. Contrary
to their public positions, the MMA went a long way to deal with
Musharaf that will legalize all the crimes of Musharaf that he
has committed under his naked military rule from 1999 to 2002.
The today attack on Musharaf life is widely considered a work
of the religious extremists. So a very complicated relationship
of the present military regime with the religious fundamentlaists
is been seen by the latest political developments. Some of the
religious forces are saving Musharaf politically, while others
are trying to take his life for the "betrayals" he has
committed by siding with American imperialism. This is a second
attempt on Musharaf life within a week. A bridge was blown up
seconds after Mushraf caravan left the space last week. No one
was injured.
Will Musharaf survive politically or physically after the latest
actions of the religious fanatics? What effect the latest attempt
on Musharaf life will have on future political scene? What should
be Socialists position on this situation? I will briefly take
up these questions. The present murder attempt is a serious below
to the deal of Musharaf with the religious fundamentalists. Musharaf
may go ahead with the planned national assembly session next week
to take up the support of the MMA to legalize his dictatorial
powers. These powers include dissolution of the parliament at
his will and some others. He may then proceed to have a big go
on all the religious extremist groups. That may mean an end of
the provincial government of MMA in North West Frontier Province
and the alliance government in Baluchistan.
Why the religious forces want to take the life of Musharaf? Mainly
his association with the American imperialism. Also they are unhappy
with the present political development of the MMA to go along
with Musharaf. They are also unhappy with Musharaf and Vajpai
present efforts of peace between Pakistan and India. The road,
air and train links are opened up after a bitter relationship
for to years.
The relationship of the military establishment with the religious
forces will go from bad to worst. The general Musharaf regime
has to decide clearly what sort of relationship he wants to keep
with the religious fanatics. He can not have the both. Internally
making alliances with religious fanatics and externally going
along with American imperialism. Probably, he will opt to cut
their relationship with the religious forces. This may mean an
end of the parliament also where Musharaf is facing a strong opposition
despite the support of the MMA.
Actions of Musharaf regime against the MMA government in NWFP
will also have negative effect with their relationship at the
center. If MMA at the center may be forced to go in opposition
to Musharaf regime, this will clearly be signal to overthrow or
suspension of the present parliament. The present parliament was
"elected in year 2002. Musharaf supporters have majority
in the parliament but not a two third majority that is needed
to carry out the amendments in the constitution. Musharaf may
attempt to go the same way as the previous military dictator Zia
Ul aq did in 1988. He suspended the government of Prime Minister
Jonejo, he helped to come in power only two years earlier.
The recent attempt on Muharaf life will bring more dictatorial
actions by the government in future. What sort of these actions
may be, it is difficult to foresee but the circumstances will
never be the same before this incident. It was serious attempt
and serious actions will follow by the government. It is possible
that more such actions may be taken by the fanatics despite all
the massive security measures. But any successful attempt on Musharaf
life will not bring any hay days for the religious fundamentalist.
They may face even more hostile attitude by Musharaf successor.
It will not force the military establishment to change their position
towards the religious fundamentalists. The state support to the
fanatics can not go on the same way as it was before 11th September
2001. But the relationship of the military is changing in installments
and in a very zig-zag manner. The latest attempt on Musharaf life
may also be warning to Musharaf that he can not have the both
ways. It will polarize the political scene of Pakistan that is
never seen before.
We can not support any action of terrorism. In the present incident,
Several ordinary passer byes also lost their life. While we have
no sympathy with Mushraf regime but our tactics to remove Musharaf
has nothing in common with those who are behind this incident.
We want to kick out Mushraf from power by a mass movement of the
workers and peasants. That is only a long lasting solution to
the present crisis.
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